மீண்டும் ஓரு ? ? ?

[Kanani]

புதினம் தெரியாமல் இவா எனக்கு புதினம் காட்டுறார்.. இவ்வளவு காலமும் ஈராக் போர் அறிக்கை பற்றி அமெரிக்கன் படங்காட்டினது பற்றி படங் காட்டினாங்கள்.. இப்ப திரும்ம இலங்கை பற்றிய அமெரிக்கப்படங் காட்டுறாங்ள்.. இதற்கு முன்னம் இப்படி ஒரு அமைப்பு பற்றி நான் கேள்விப்பட்டதுகூட இல்லை.. இப்படி எத்தனை வரும்..

அந்த அறிக்கையிலிருந்து.............

Sri Lanka: Col. Karuna Is Back
July 12, 2004
Summary


Col. Karuna, former commander in the Liberation of Tamil Tigers Eelam, resurfaced July 12 after a three-month hiatus. Though Karuna's return was not unexpected, it does have implications for the stalled peace process and might signal the beginning of a renewed guerrilla war -- perhaps with tacit government consent.


Analysis


Out of sight for three months, former Liberation of Tamil Tigers Eelam commander Vinayagamoorthy Muralitharan -- better known by his nom de guerre Col. Karuna -- resurfaced July 12 in an interview with the BBC's Tamil news service. Karuna was in virtual exile since his revolt against the mainstream Tigers was put down in April.


Karuna's re-emergence indicates the Tigers' effort to consolidate and strengthen its negotiating stance is far from over. If Karuna remains adamant in his denunciation of the Tigers, it could result in a renewed round of fighting within the group -- something Colombo is not only hoping for but also is actively trying to promote.


Stratfor has learned from sources inside the Sri Lankan government that Karuna's defection was supported by the highest levels of authority in Colombo, with the tacit approval of the United States. The plan is to destabilize the Tigers, bait the group into confrontation and ultimately launch an offensive aimed at destroying the fractured Tamil movement once and for all.


Following Karuna's defection and subsequent battle to reunite the group, the Tigers embarked on a not-so-subtle campaign to consolidate their leadership and eliminate dissent. This occurred when peace talks were held up during the Sri Lankan parliamentary elections and formation of a new government. The Tigers also indicated they would not return to the bargaining table until ethnic Tamil areas of Sri Lanka are granted autonomy from Colombo. The Sri Lankan government has not budged on this issue.


This negotiating stance is a matter of survival for the Tigers. Colombo would like nothing more than to see the Tigers weakened by internal fighting along with struggles over how the peace process should be approached. This is why the government provided tacit support to Karuna during his rebellion and still is in regular contact with him. Although he denies support was ever offered, numerous figures within the Sri Lankan government have hinted that Colombo is supporting Karuna.

Strategic Forecasting Inc StratFor